Australian ASX share prices show mixed results as bank profits change in 2025 and 2026

The ASX rose by 1% in February 2025, but major banks like CBA fell by 3.1% later that year. This shows that even when banks make billions in profit, share prices can still go down.

The Australian stock market (ASX) has shown varying movements, often ending with small gains, while major banks experienced different fortunes over several months. Globally, Wall Street faced unsteady trading, with influences like US Treasury policy affecting investor views. These shifts mean a complex picture for those watching market health and company results.

ASX set to rise, Wall Street unsteady; NAB’s $2b profit - 1

Market Activity Overview

Over time, the ASX has often moved upwards, even as parts of the market faced pressure. In February 2025, the ASX went up by 1 per cent. This growth happened alongside the Commonwealth Bank (CBA) reaching a new high share price. Earlier, in May 2024, there was an expectation that Australian shares would rise. This view came from hopes that the US Federal Reserve might lower interest rates. By February 2026, the ASX saw a small gain of 0.2 per cent.

ASX set to rise, Wall Street unsteady; NAB’s $2b profit - 2

In contrast, Wall Street showed mixed results. In February 2026, the S&P 500 rose 0.1 per cent after changing between gains and losses. The Dow Jones and Nasdaq composite also gained 0.1 per cent each. However, Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell by 0.4 per cent in the same period.

Read More: RXO Stock Faces Questions as ROIC Drops Significantly Since 2023

ASX set to rise, Wall Street unsteady; NAB’s $2b profit - 3

Banking Sector Performance

The banking sector saw significant movement.

  • In February 2025, Australian lenders, including CBA, saw a rally, pushing CBA shares to a new record. This rise was also helped by the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant's statement about reducing yields on US 10-year Treasury bonds.

  • However, by July 2025, major Australian banks experienced a downturn.

  • Commonwealth Bank (CBA) fell 3.1 per cent.

  • NAB dropped 2.7 per cent.

  • Westpac lost 1.3 per cent.

  • ANZ Bank saw a 0.8 per cent loss.

  • Separately, a report from February 2026 noted NAB's $2 billion profit. In November 2025, Westpac reported a $7 billion profit. The detailed context for these profits, specifically when they were earned or the reporting period, is not fully clear from available data.

Different parts of the market moved in various directions.

ASX set to rise, Wall Street unsteady; NAB’s $2b profit - 4
  • In July 2025, the healthcare sector climbed 2.1 per cent.

  • CSL rose 3.4 per cent.

  • Pro Medicus was 2.1 per cent higher.

  • Resmed and Sigma also increased by 1.1 per cent and 0.7 per cent respectively.

  • Mining companies also saw gains; for example, West African Resources climbed 8.6 per cent in July 2025.

  • At the same time, some retail stocks fell.

  • Wesfarmers was down 0.8 per cent.

  • Woolworths edged 0.3 per cent lower.

  • In July 2025, Insignia agreed to a $3.3 billion takeover. This happened during a time when a broad fall pulled the ASX off a record high.

Global Economic Influences

External economic conditions in the US appeared to play a part in Australian market movements.

  • In February 2025, the US 10-year Treasury yield fell by 9 basis points to 4.42 per cent. This decline was linked to a positive outlook for the US economy, which some believed was "truly positive for risk-on sentiment."

  • Earlier, in May 2024, Australian shares were expected to rise. This was due to hopes that the Federal Reserve in the US might have more room to cut interest rates later in the year.

Expert Analysis

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant's statement that the US government would focus on bringing down the yield on the 10-year Treasury bonds also boosted the banks. And more importantly, there’s the outlook for the US, which is truly positive for risk-on [sentiment].

This indicates that government actions and overall US economic prospects were seen as positive factors for market confidence, particularly for Australian banks, at least in February 2025.

Conclusion

The Australian market experienced varied trading conditions. The ASX showed an overall tendency to rise, influenced by global events and hopes for US interest rate changes. However, this growth was not uniform across all sectors.

  • Banking stocks, after an early strong period in February 2025, faced significant drops in July 2025, even as some banks like NAB and Westpac reported large profits.

  • Other sectors, like healthcare and mining, saw gains during periods when banks struggled.

  • Global economic signals, particularly from the US, appeared to have a notable effect on market feeling in Australia.

This record shows a market where broad movements often hide diverse performances among different companies and parts of the economy. The data suggests that specific company results and global economic policy decisions each play important roles in how local markets move.

Read More: Matt Davidson's June 2023 Art Shows Australian Economy Problems

Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Why did Commonwealth Bank shares reach a record high price in February 2025?
CBA shares hit a new record because the US government planned to lower bond yields. This made investors feel more confident about buying bank stocks in Australia.
Q: How did US interest rate hopes change the Australian stock market in May 2024?
Investors expected Australian shares to go up because they hoped the US Federal Reserve would lower interest rates. Lower rates usually make it cheaper for companies to borrow money and grow.
Q: Why did major Australian banks like NAB and Westpac lose value in July 2025?
Even though banks were making money, CBA fell 3.1 per cent and NAB fell 2.7 per cent during a general market downturn. This happened while other sectors like healthcare were actually growing.
Q: How much profit did Westpac and NAB report during the 2025 and 2026 market updates?
Westpac reported a large $7 billion profit in November 2025. Later, in February 2026, NAB reported a profit of $2 billion, which helped the market stay steady.
Q: What happened to the healthcare sector when the ASX fell in July 2025?
While banks were losing value, the healthcare sector rose by 2.1 per cent. Companies like CSL saw their share prices go up by 3.4 per cent during this time.