NSE IPO Jeopardy: Profits CRASH 37% Amidst Record Capital Raising!

NSE's IPO dreams face a brutal reality check as profits CRASH 37% despite record capital raising. Is this a red flag for investors or a temporary storm before the big day?

The National Stock Exchange (NSE), a titan of Indian finance and poised for its long-awaited Initial Public Offering (IPO), has released its third-quarter financial results for FY26, revealing a significant 37% year-on-year drop in net profit. This decline, from ₹3,834 crore in Q3 FY25 to ₹2,408 crore in Q3 FY26, arrives at a critical juncture, raising eyebrows and demanding a deeper examination of the exchange's operational health and future prospects. As investors and market watchers scrutinize these figures, questions about the underlying causes and their implications for the upcoming IPO loom large. Is this a temporary blip, or a symptom of deeper challenges?

A Steep Fall Amidst Market Activity

The reported figures paint a stark picture:

  • Net Profit: A substantial 37% decrease from ₹3,834 crore (Q3 FY25) to ₹2,408 crore (Q3 FY26).

  • Total Income: Also saw a 9% dip, falling to ₹4,395 crore in Q3 FY26 from ₹4,807 crore in the same period last year.

  • Operating EBITDA: Declined by 16% year-on-year, settling at ₹2,851 crore.

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While the consolidated figures show a year-on-year decline, the exchange did report a sequential growth of nearly 15% in net profit compared to the September quarter (Q2 FY26), which stood at ₹2,098 crore. Total income also saw a sequential increase. This mixed performance – a year-on-year slide coupled with sequential improvement – only adds to the complexity of the situation.

IPO-bound NSE’s net profit drops 37 pc to Rs 2,408 crore in Q3 - 1

"IPO-bound National Stock Exchange (NSE) reported a 37 per cent YoY profit decline in the third quarter of FY26." - The Financial Express

Despite the profit dip, the NSE platform facilitated significant capital raising activities. A total of ₹5.4 lakh crore was raised via equity, debt, and business trusts in Q3 FY26. Furthermore, the mainboard and SME IPOs saw robust activity, with 65 companies raising ₹96,457 crore, nearly double the previous quarter and the highest in four quarters. If capital raising is strong, why the profit squeeze?

The IPO Countdown: A Shadow Over Earnings?

The timing of this profit decline is particularly noteworthy, as it comes shortly after the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) granted its long-awaited "no-objection certificate" (NOC) for the NSE's IPO. This regulatory hurdle, which had delayed the exchange's public listing for nearly a decade, has finally been cleared. However, the recent financial results might cast a shadow over the IPO's valuation and investor sentiment.

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IPO-bound NSE’s net profit drops 37 pc to Rs 2,408 crore in Q3 - 2
  • SEBI's Approval: The green light from SEBI was a significant step, paving the way for the NSE to file its Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP).

  • CEO's Outlook: NSE's Managing Director and CEO, Ashishkumar Chauhan, indicated that the DRHP preparation would take "three to four months." He expressed gratitude to SEBI for clearing the IPO process after a decade of delays.

  • Past Controversies: It's crucial to remember the NSE's history. The exchange has been under regulatory scrutiny for past governance issues, including the "co-location" facility controversy, which led to penalties and leadership changes. These past incidents may continue to influence investor perception.

"A decade after SEBI agreed to start the IPO process. We thank SEBI for this." - Ashishkumar Chauhan, MD & CEO, NSE

The question remains: Is the market pricing in these past issues, or is the current profit dip a more immediate concern for potential investors?

Deconstructing the Numbers: What's Affecting Profitability?

While the exact reasons for the sharp year-on-year decline in profit are not explicitly detailed in the provided summaries, we can infer potential contributing factors based on the reported figures and industry dynamics.

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IPO-bound NSE’s net profit drops 37 pc to Rs 2,408 crore in Q3 - 3
Financial MetricQ3 FY26Q3 FY25Year-on-Year ChangeSequential Change (vs Q2 FY26)
Net Profit₹2,408 crore₹3,834 crore-37%+~15%
Total Income₹4,395 crore₹4,807 crore-9%+~6%
Operating EBITDA₹2,851 croreN/A (Implied)-16%N/A
EBITDA Margin73%78%-5 percentage points73% (Q3 FY26) vs 40% (Q2 FY26)
  • Increased Operating Costs: A decline in operating EBITDA, even with a strong margin, suggests that operating expenses might have risen. Were there investments in technology, infrastructure, or personnel that impacted the bottom line?

  • Shifting Revenue Mix: While overall income fell, the composition of revenue streams could have changed. A potential decrease in higher-margin activities might have contributed to the profit drop, even if overall transaction volumes remained healthy.

  • Regulatory Expenses/Provisions: The period leading up to an IPO often involves increased expenditure on compliance, legal fees, and potential provisions. Could these have impacted the net profit?

  • Interest Expenses: Changes in borrowing costs or increased debt servicing could also eat into profits.

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"Operating performance also softened on an annual basis." - IndUS Business Journal

The operating EBITDA margin, while still robust at 73% for Q3 FY26, shows a slight decrease from 78% in Q3 FY25. The significant jump in margin from 40% in Q2 FY26 to 73% in Q3 FY26, however, is notable. This suggests that while year-on-year performance was weaker, the current quarter performed significantly better than the preceding one. What specific events or cost structures shifted between these periods?

Broader Economic and Market Influences

The performance of the NSE is intrinsically linked to the broader economic climate and the health of the capital markets. While the exchange itself is a key facilitator, it is not immune to external pressures.

IPO-bound NSE’s net profit drops 37 pc to Rs 2,408 crore in Q3 - 4
  • Global Economic Headwinds: In the current global economic scenario, factors like inflation, interest rate hikes by central banks, and geopolitical tensions can impact investor confidence and market activity.

  • Domestic Market Dynamics: While India's economy has shown resilience, any slowdown in domestic consumption, industrial production, or foreign direct investment could trickle down to reduced trading volumes and capital raising.

  • Competition: Although the NSE is a dominant player, competition from other exchanges, albeit smaller, and the evolution of financial technology (FinTech) could also influence market share and revenue streams.

  • Monetary Policy: Changes in interest rates directly affect the cost of capital for businesses and the attractiveness of different asset classes, influencing trading volumes and IPO activity.

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"The stock exchange’s consolidated Profit After Tax (PAT) stood at Rs 2,408 crore in Q3 FY26, compared to Rs 3,834 crore in Q3 FY25." - The Financial Express

Are these market fluctuations being adequately managed by the NSE, or are they the primary drivers of the profit decline?

Conclusion: Navigating the IPO Path

The NSE stands at a crucial crossroads. The recent decline in net profit, while partly offset by sequential growth, presents a challenge as it gears up for its IPO. The market will be keenly observing how the exchange addresses these concerns and presents its case to potential investors.

  • Transparency is Key: The NSE needs to provide a clear and detailed explanation for the year-on-year profit drop. Investors will demand a thorough understanding of the cost structure and revenue drivers.

  • Future Outlook: The DRHP filing will be critical. It should offer a robust future outlook, outlining growth strategies, risk mitigation plans, and projections that can inspire confidence.

  • Governance Matters: The lingering questions about past governance issues will need to be convincingly addressed. A strong governance framework will be paramount for attracting institutional investors.

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The successful navigation of this IPO will depend not only on the regulatory landscape but also on the NSE's ability to demonstrate sustainable profitability and robust governance in the face of market volatility and evolving financial ecosystems. Will this profit dip be a temporary blip on the road to a successful IPO, or a sign of challenges ahead? The coming months will undoubtedly provide more clarity.

Sources:

  1. The Hans India: IPO-bound NSE’s net profit drops 37 pc to Rs 2,408 crore in Q3 (Published: 14 hours ago) - https://www.thehansindia.com/business/ipo-bound-nses-net-profit-drops-37-pc-to-rs-2408-crore-in-q3-1046147

  2. The Financial Express: IPO bound NSE reports 37% profit decline in Q3, revenue falls to Rs 3,925 crore - Industry News (Published: 15 hours ago) - https://www.financialexpress.com/business/industry-ipo-bound-nse-reports-37-profit-decline-in-q3-revenue-falls-to-rs-3925nbspcrore-4133863/

  3. ET NOW: IPO-bound NSE’s Q3 FY26 net profit falls 37% YoY to Rs 2408 crore, revenue drops 10% - Stock exchange's quarterly results details (Published: 12 hours ago) - https://www.etnownews.com/markets/ipo-bound-nses-q3-fy26-net-profit-falls-37-yoy-to-rs-2408-crore-revenue-drops-10-stock-exchanges-quarterly-results-details-article-153572659

  4. The Economic Times: NSE Q3 Results: Profit falls 37% YoY to Rs 2,408 crore (Published: 16 hours ago) - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/earnings/nse-q3-results-profit-falls-37-yoy-to-rs-2408-crore/articleshow/127989825.cms

  5. NewsBytes: NSE's Q3 profit down 37% YoY ahead of IPO (Published: 1 day ago) - https://www.newsbytesapp.com/news/business/nses-q3-profit-down-37-yoy-ahead-of-ipo/tldr

  6. IndUS Business Journal: NSE Profit Falls 37% in Third Quarter as Exchange Prepares for IPO Filing (Published: 1 day ago) - https://indusbusinessjournal.com/2026/02/nse-profit-falls-37-in-third-quarter-as-exchange-prepares-for-ipo-filing/

  7. Bhaskar Hindi: आईपीओ लाने की तैयारी कर रही एनएसई ने जारी किए नतीजे, कंपनी का मुनाफा 37 प्रतिशत गिरा | IPO-bound NSE?s Q3 net profit drops 37 pc to Rs 2,408 crore (Published: 1 day ago) - https://www.bhaskarhindi.com/other/hindi-ipo-bound-nses-q3-net-profit-drops-37-pc-to-rs-2408-crore-20260206200317-1249218

  8. Lokmat Times: IPO-bound NSE’s net profit drops 37 pc to Rs 2,408 crore in Q3 (Published: 14 hours ago) - https://www.lokmattimes.com/technology/ipo-bound-nses-net-profit-drops-37-pc-to-rs-2408-crore-in-q3-2/

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Why did NSE's profits drop so dramatically ahead of its IPO?
NSE reported a 37% year-on-year decline in net profit to ₹2,408 crore in Q3 FY26, with total income also dipping 9%. While sequential growth was seen, the annual drop raises concerns about operating costs or revenue mix shifts.
Q: How can NSE's profits fall if capital raising was strong?
Despite facilitating ₹5.4 lakh crore in capital raising and robust IPO activity, NSE's profit margin saw a slight year-on-year decrease. This suggests increased operating expenses or a shift in revenue streams might be impacting the bottom line.
Q: What are the implications of this profit drop for NSE's IPO?
The significant profit decline, especially before its long-awaited IPO, could dampen investor sentiment and impact valuation. Investors will scrutinize the exchange's ability to explain the profit squeeze and demonstrate future profitability and strong governance.