AC Milan faces Parma at San Siro in a Serie A match, with AC Milan aiming to improve their league standing. The fixture presents a contrast in team form, with AC Milan in contention for the title and Parma focused on securing their place in the top flight. Recent results and historical data suggest a challenging contest for both sides, though AC Milan holds a notable advantage in past home encounters.
Context of the Match
AC Milan is currently in pursuit of the Serie A title, but recent results have seen them fall behind league leaders Inter Milan. A draw against Como in their last league outing highlighted this gap. Despite this, AC Milan has maintained an impressive unbeaten run in the league, with their last loss occurring on the opening matchday of the season. This resilience is tested as they host Parma, a team on track to secure their Serie A status for another season.
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The historical head-to-head record indicates AC Milan's strength at home against Parma, with a significant number of wins at San Siro. However, Parma has shown an ability to earn results away from home, with a recent run of form that includes victories and a limited number of losses in their last seven Serie A away games.
Team News and Lineups
AC Milan manager Massimiliano Allegri is expected to make several changes to the starting lineup. French midfielder Adrien Rabiot is available for selection after serving a suspension. Christian Pulisic is also anticipated to return to the starting XI, having recovered from injury. According to reports, up to six changes might be implemented in the lineup for this fixture.
AC Milan Predicted Lineup (3-5-2): Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Bartesaghi; Saelemaekers, Loftus-Cheek, Modric, Rabiot, Estupinan; Pulisic, Leao.
Parma Predicted Lineup (3-5-2): (Information not specified in provided data).
Massimiliano Allegri will be serving a touchline ban, meaning he will not be present on the sidelines during the match.
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Performance Metrics and Historical Encounters
Statistical data provides insight into the performance of both teams. AC Milan has a strong home record this season, securing a substantial portion of their points from home fixtures. Historically, AC Milan has demonstrated offensive capability in home matches against Parma, often scoring multiple goals.
| Metric | AC Milan (Home) | Parma (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Average Goals Scored (Last 10) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Average Goals Conceded (Last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| Average Possession (Last 10) | 53.50% | 43.80% |
| Wins in Last 10 Home Games | 6 | 4 (Overall) |
| Losses in Last 10 Away Games | 2 (Overall) | - |
| Clean Sheets in Last 3 Away | 2 | - |
AC Milan's defense has been a strong point, with a comparatively low number of goals conceded over their last 25 games. Conversely, Parma has conceded more goals over the same period.
Recent Form and Strengths
AC Milan's current form shows an undefeated streak of 24 league matches, a testament to their consistency. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by key players like Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leao, who are leading scorers for the team. Adrien Rabiot also contributes significantly with assists.
Parma, on the other hand, has recently achieved a two-match winning streak in Serie A, demonstrating an upward trend in their performance. They have also shown resilience in away games, with only one loss in their last seven away fixtures and managing to keep clean sheets in two of those matches. However, their away goal-scoring has been limited in recent outings.
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Betting Market Expectations
The betting odds and predictions suggest a strong likelihood of an AC Milan victory. This is based on their superior overall form, offensive capabilities, and a well-regarded defensive unit. The expectation is for AC Milan to leverage their home advantage at San Siro. Some analyses also predict a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, aligning with AC Milan's typically solid defense under manager Massimiliano Allegri.
AC Milan Strengths: Superior form, attacking firepower, strong defense, home advantage.
Parma Strengths: Recent winning streak, resilience in away games.
Expert Analysis and Predictions
Analysts point to AC Milan's overall superiority as a significant factor in predicting the outcome. Their consistent performance, particularly at home, and their ability to score goals are considered key advantages. While Parma's recent form is noted, the prevailing view is that AC Milan will likely secure the win.
"Given AC Milan’s all-round superiority in both attack and defence, we’re especially confident backing a home win." (Squawka)
"AC Milan should win once again but, as is always the case under Massimiliano Allegri, it is expected to be a low-scoring encounter." (The Stats Zone)
Conclusion and Implications
The upcoming match between AC Milan and Parma at San Siro is framed by AC Milan's ongoing Scudetto challenge and Parma's effort to solidify their league position. AC Milan enters the game with a significant unbeaten streak and a strong historical record against Parma at home. Parma, however, arrives with recent winning momentum and a solid performance in their away fixtures.
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The predicted lineups indicate a strong starting XI for AC Milan, aiming to capitalize on their advantages. While AC Milan is widely expected to win, the outcome may be influenced by Parma's recent improvements and their capacity to perform away from home. The game is anticipated to be a tactical affair, potentially with a limited number of goals.
Sources Used
Sports Mole: Preview: AC Milan vs Parma - prediction, team news, lineups🔗 https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ac-milan/race-for-the-serie-a-title/preview/ac-milan-vs-parma-prediction-team-news-lineups592394.html
Sports Gambler: AC Milan vs Parma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2026🔗 https://www.sportsgambler.com/betting-tips/football/ac-milan-vs-parma-prediction-lineups-odds-2026-02-22/
Sportskeeda: AC Milan vs Parma Prediction and Betting Tips | February 22nd 2026🔗 https://www.sportskeeda.com/football/ac-milan-vs-parma-prediction-betting-tips-february-22nd-2026
Squawka: AC Milan vs Parma: predictions, stats, tips & odds🔗 https://www.squawka.com/en/news/match-preview-ac-milan-vs-parma-22-02-26-serie-a/
SempreMilan: Sky: Milan's predicted XI to face Parma - Estupinan, Loftus-Cheek and Pulisic named🔗 https://sempremilan.com/sky-milans-xi-parma-estupinan-rlc-pulisic
Khel Now: Preview: AC Milan vs Parma Prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds | Serie A 2025-26🔗 https://khelnow.com/football/world-football-ac-milan-vs-parma-preview-202602
The Stats Zone: AC Milan vs Parma Preview & Prediction🔗 https://www.thestatszone.com/ac-milan-vs-parma-preview-prediction-171974
