The weather forecast for the upcoming India vs. West Indies Super 8 T20 World Cup 2026 match in Kolkata is a focal point due to its potential impact on team progression. The Super 8 stage presents a complex mathematical scenario where a match interruption, particularly due to rain, could significantly alter the standings and, consequently, which teams advance to the semi-finals.
The West Indies currently hold a strong Net Run Rate (NRR) of +1.791, in stark contrast to India's negative NRR of -0.100. This disparity underscores the importance of every run and every completed match for both sides.

High Stakes in Super 8
The India vs. West Indies match in Kolkata is more than just a game; it's a critical juncture in the T20 World Cup 2026 Super 8 stage. The standings, as presented by the available data, indicate a delicate balance where weather could play a decisive role.
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Scenario of Abandonment: If the match is abandoned due to unforeseen weather events, both India and the West Indies would be awarded one point each. This outcome is particularly significant given the current NRR differences.
Team Progression: The top two teams from each Super 8 group advance to the semi-finals. The existing points and NRR will be the primary determinants for this advancement.
Weather and its Impact on Net Run Rate
The NRR is a crucial tie-breaker in cricket tournaments. A substantial difference, such as the one between India and the West Indies, highlights the vulnerability of the team with the lower NRR.

West Indies' Advantage: Their positive NRR of +1.791 provides them with a buffer.
India's Challenge: India's negative NRR of -0.100 means they likely need a decisive victory and favorable results from other matches to secure a semi-final spot.
Match Abandonment's Implication for West Indies
A match abandonment due to rain would award a single point to each team. For the West Indies, this scenario could be advantageous:
Semi-final Qualification: A shared point could be sufficient for the West Indies to secure their place in the semi-finals, potentially at India's expense. This highlights why the brutal math of the Super 8 table is amplified by weather concerns.
Examination of Other Super 8 Matches
While the focus is on Kolkata, the weather in other Super 8 matches is also relevant to the overall tournament progression. Reports from other locations offer a contrast in weather expectations.
| Match | Location | Weather Forecast | Potential Impact | Source Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India vs. WI | Kolkata | Not explicitly stated | Crucial | zeenews.india.com |
| India vs. WI | Kolkata | Rain a concern | Potential Spoilsport | newspointapp.com |
| India vs. Zimbabwe | Chennai | No rain predicted | Dew a factor | ndtv.com |
| WI vs. Zimbabwe | Mumbai | No rainfall expected | Not a factor | cricketnews.com |
| India vs. Afg | Barbados | 3% Probability of Precip | Low probability | news18.com |
Expert Analysis
While no direct expert quotes are available in the provided data, the article summaries reveal a consensus on the critical nature of weather. The juxtaposition of West Indies' superior NRR against India's deficit creates a high-stakes environment where any interruption, especially a washout, directly influences semi-final qualification. The "brutal math" mentioned by Zee News is a direct indication of the analytical depth required to understand the tournament's progression, going beyond simple win-loss records.
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Conclusion and Implications
The weather forecast for the India vs. West Indies Super 8 T20 World Cup 2026 match in Kolkata carries substantial weight. The complex interplay of team performance, Net Run Rate, and potential weather disruptions means that a completed match is vital for India to control their destiny.
Uncertainty Remains: Specific details regarding the probability of rain in Kolkata for the India vs. West Indies match are not definitively quantified in the provided summaries, beyond the general indication that rain is a concern.
Consequences of Abandonment: A washed-out game would entrench the current NRR advantage for the West Indies, making their semi-final qualification more probable and India's path significantly more challenging.
Need for Clarity: Further detailed meteorological reports for Kolkata on the match day would be essential for a complete assessment.
Sources Used
Zee News: Provides context on why weather matters and highlights the NRR disparity.π Link: https://zeenews.india.com/cricket/what-is-the-weather-forecast-for-ind-vs-wi-super-8-t20-world-cup-2026-match-in-kolkata-and-why-does-it-matter-3021865.html
Newspointapp: Reinforces the concern about rain in Kolkata and its potential to benefit the West Indies.π Link: https://www.newspointapp.com/english/sports/india-vs-west-indies-weather-report-will-rain-hit-kolkata-super-8-game-in-t20-world-cup-2026-cricketgully/articleshow/14504820c548dc040db081fb7dfc31cee97f2bdf
NDTV: Offers a contrasting weather forecast for a different Super 8 match in Chennai, indicating generally good conditions with no rain predicted.π Link: https://sports.ndtv.com/t20-world-cup-2026/india-vs-zimbabwe-weather-update-rain-to-impact-t20-world-cup-semifinal-race-11138172
Cricketnews.com: Reports no chance of rainfall for the WI vs. Zimbabwe match in Mumbai.π Link: https://www.cricketnews.com/en/cricket/news/wi-zim-t20-world-cup-2026-super-8-washed-out-weather-forecast-rain-mumbai/817ff565f97cfabda7a2539d
News18: Provides weather updates for the India vs. Afghanistan match in Barbados, indicating a low probability of precipitation.π Link: https://www.news18.com/cricket/ind-vs-afg-t20-world-cup-india-vs-afghanistan-barbados-rain-prediction-weather-forecast-today-pitch-report-washout-super-8-liveblog-8938144.html